The prospects of millimeter (mmWave) 5G deployments have peaked the interest of mobile ecosystem players, investors included. While mmWave frequencies offer unmatched capacity, their coverage footprint lead to high network roll out and operating costs*. This raises questions on the financial viability of mmWave 5G. Vendors and suppliers continue to face tough decisions about supporting these frequency bands.… Read More »
The mobile and satellite industries progressed along parallel path, rarely intersecting. This is because neither side could satisfy the value creation needs of the other side [see here]. However, there is a renaissance in satellite communications brought about by high-throughput satellites and improved launch economics. Entrepreneurs from outside the industry like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos are planning… Read More »
The satellite and mobile industries have long played in their own field, rarely intersecting despite being complementary. The disconnect between the two camps is surprisingly large. Neither side paying much attention to developments on the other side. Their relationship even turned adversarial where spectrum rights were at stake. Both industries are now trying to work together by defining… Read More »
Research from Xona Partners on 5G deployment trends and prospects reveals that operators will focus on mid-band spectrum. The millimeter wave technology will remain a niche play in the short and medium terms. 5G is a Mid-Band Play Operators around the world have spent over $16.2 Billion acquiring 3.5 GHz spectrum (C-band) in the 18 months between January… Read More »
I highlighted in my previous article on LEO satellites the capacity that will come online within the next few years. In 2024, the capacity supply from LEO satellites could be 24x of what GEO satellites offer today. Such a rapid increase in capacity over a short period of 5 years could have great consequences on many telecom incumbents.… Read More »
A new kind of space race is on. If all goes according to plans, a few thousand satellites will be orbiting the earth to provide internet connectivity from space. These are a new generation of high-capacity satellites that will orbit at relatively low altitudes to provide unprecedented performance from space-based networks. These low-earth orbit (LEO) satellites will be… Read More »
Safety. Productivity. Reliability. These are the three axioms that govern the mining and oil & gas industries. I have been researching the potential for private networks in these verticals to determine what role, if any, could LTE and 5G networks play. Looking back over the past 10+ years, private networks held much promise, but showed little success. Will… Read More »
While 5G attracts most attention, operators had been making decisions on how to retire legacy 2G and 3G networks to free up spectrum for LTE networks and support higher capacity. Unlike earlier technology migrations where the path was clear, operators have to make tough decisions on which network to turn off first: 2G or 3G. In this, we… Read More »
This year I’ll opt to write a few quick thoughts on the state of the telco industry instead of the annual report that follows MWC. Time is tight, so let’s get straight to the main points. Foldable Phones Foldable phones were the main highlight of MWC2019. Both Samsung and Huawei launched models featuring foldable screens. At prices in… Read More »
Two paths to 5G deployments are emerging: consumer and enterprise deployments. The former is how operators make the vast majority of their revenue. The latter is receiving much interest as it promises a new bump in revenue. Enterprise private networks is not a new idea: it has been slow to realize it because of economics among other factors.… Read More »
Edge computing presents a new opportunity for telecom service providers to have a cloud play. Their proximity to users gives them an inherent advantage at the ‘edge.’ The question is: are the telcos ready to capitalize on this opportunity? What could be their approach in securing their share of this market? And, will they succeed in claiming their… Read More »
Results from the recent UK spectrum auction and the minimum price set by the Korean regulator show record 3.5 GHz spectrum valuation. UK operators paid £1.16 Billion ($1.64 Billion) for 150 MHz. In Korea, the regulator asked for close to $2.5 Billion for 280 MHz. For comparison, the 3.5 GHz UK spectrum is more than 5x the price paid… Read More »
It is common to pin the 5G value proposition on its performance, mainly capacity* and latency. These features will enable applications that operators can monetize. However, I will argue here that capacity and latency are secondary to realizing the full 5G value proposition. Capacity and latency make for big headlines and are easy to grasp by the common… Read More »
In my earlier post, I outlined a few myths about 5G to avoid the cascading technology trap. Here, I like to extend the discussion and share a few data points on the cost of 5G networks. Over the past few months, our team has analyzed vendors’ roadmaps and product features, assessed spectrum and its cost, and developed deployment… Read More »
There are a few myth about 5G that I came about in discussions with executives, investors, smart city officials and other parties active in technology development and planning for new services. Two examples: Don’t bother deploying a certain IoT technology – for example LoRaWAN or similar technology – because 5G will serve all these applications (e.g. street lighting,… Read More »